Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -700 ASU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -13.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -12.8 (+5.2) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -13.2 (+4.8) | 136.0 (+4.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCLA -13.5 (+4.5) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -13.1 (+4.9) | 135.6 (+4.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Game Analysis
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