Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -700 ASU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -13.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -12.5 (+5.5) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -12.9 (+5.1) | 136.0 (+4.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -12.9 (+5.1) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -12.5 (+5.5) | 135.6 (+4.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UCLA 90 – 77 ASU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UCLA 59 – 47 ASU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCLA 68 – 66 ASU |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UCLA 74 – 62 ASU |
| Feb 22, 2022 | UCLA 66 – 52 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#4) | 8.6 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#6) | 1.54 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#7) | 1.78 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#5) | 0.563 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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