Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -110 UL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +18 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -0.4 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -0.1 (-17.9) | 136.3 (+17.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -0.4 (-17.6) | 135.0 (+19.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -0.4 (-17.6) | 136.8 (+17.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -0.4 (-17.6) | 136.8 (+17.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UL 67 – 54 TXST |
| Jan 15, 2026 | TXST 59 – 54 UL |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UL 70 – 61 TXST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TXST 89 – 74 UL |
| Jan 28, 2024 | UL 66 – 46 TXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#231) | 1.1 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#258) | 0.09 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#234) | 0.21 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#216) | 0.513 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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