Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -115 MUR -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +15 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -4.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.2 (-16.2) | 135.5 (-4.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -0.6 (-15.6) | 133.1 (-2.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.1 (-16.1) | 135.7 (-4.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.9 (-15.9) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UIC 92 – 79 MUR |
| Feb 4, 2026 | MUR 81 – 74 UIC |
| Jan 2, 2026 | MUR 81 – 77 UIC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MUR 63 – 53 UIC |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UIC 97 – 93 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-11 |
| Home | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#153) | 0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#224) | -0.64 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#169) | -0.32 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#214) | 0.462 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.