Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -155 MUR +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +4 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -2.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+42.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -1.5 (+2.5) | 141.7 (+48.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -1.5 (+2.5) | 139.7 (+50.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.9 (+2.1) | 140.6 (+49.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.0 (+3.0) | 141.3 (+48.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UIC 92 – 79 MUR |
| Feb 4, 2026 | MUR 81 – 74 UIC |
| Jan 2, 2026 | MUR 81 – 77 UIC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MUR 63 – 53 UIC |
| Jan 18, 2024 | MUR 73 – 58 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#137) | 2.7 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#107) | 0.52 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#122) | 0.76 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#75) | 0.534 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.