Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -150 YSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -4.2 (-1.2) | 150.4 (-13.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | OAK -1.8 (+1.2) | 147.5 (-10.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | OAK -4.2 (-1.2) | 148.8 (-11.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.2 (-1.2) | 150.2 (-13.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Dec 31, 2023 | OAK 88 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#131) | 1.1 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#111) | 0.44 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#126) | 0.49 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#89) | 0.524 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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