Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -210 YSU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -4.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -3.8 (-12.8) | 134.2 (+24.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -4.5 (-13.5) | 135.0 (+24.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -3.7 (-12.7) | 135.8 (+23.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.2 (-13.2) | 135.3 (+23.7) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | OAK 88 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#188) | -3.5 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#197) | -0.48 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#193) | -0.61 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#177) | 0.463 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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