Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -130 OAK +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +2 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -1.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.0 (-4.0) | 150.8 (+17.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.4 (-4.4) | 149.4 (+18.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.7 (-3.7) | 151.4 (+16.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.6 (-3.6) | 150.2 (+17.8) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | OAK 88 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#171) | 2.4 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#205) | 0.68 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#213) | 0.51 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#221) | 0.587 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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