Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | YSU -170 OAK +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +7 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -4.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -3.6 (-10.6) | 142.6 (+26.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -5.0 (-12.0) | 143.2 (+25.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.7 (-9.7) | 144.5 (+24.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -3.8 (-10.8) | 142.4 (+26.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | 2.7 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#97) | 0.49 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#110) | 0.81 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#107) | 0.555 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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