Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -135 OAK +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +16 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -1.1 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -0.9 (+16.9) | 125.7 (-9.7) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -1.2 (+17.2) | 133.0 (-17.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -1.3 (+17.3) | 126.3 (-10.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -1.6 (+17.6) | 126.7 (-10.7) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | YSU 86 – 82 OAK |
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | OAK 88 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#248) | 1.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#272) | 0.55 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#266) | 1.40 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#312) | 0.559 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.1% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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