Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -185 YSU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -7.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.1 (-9.1) | 153.9 (+14.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.6 (-9.6) | 154.8 (+13.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -6.4 (-10.4) | 155.8 (+12.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -5.5 (-9.5) | 153.7 (+14.3) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | OAK 85 – 83 YSU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | YSU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Dec 7, 2024 | YSU 66 – 50 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2024 | OAK 70 – 67 YSU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | OAK 88 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#137) | -2.3 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#119) | -0.93 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#142) | -0.89 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#67) | 0.440 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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