Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -8000 USC +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -22.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -16.3 (-1.3) | 159.7 (-10.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -16.2 (-1.2) | 159.9 (-10.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -18.1 (-3.1) | 160.6 (-11.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -17.8 (-2.8) | 160.2 (-11.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2024 | ARIZ 70 – 49 USC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | USC 78 – 65 ARIZ |
| Mar 3, 2023 | ARIZ 87 – 81 USC |
| Jan 20, 2023 | ARIZ 81 – 66 USC |
| Mar 2, 2022 | ARIZ 91 – 71 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 24.9 (#1) | 6.7 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#19) | 0.64 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#12) | 1.01 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#11) | 0.538 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 44.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 79.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.