All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Big 12 Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · January 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OU -12.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money OU -1000 / WVU +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +14 140 Won
Massey OU -17.5 (-3.5) — —
Massey Totals — 143.5 (-3.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OU -14.6 (-0.6) 145.0 (-5.0) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OU -13.4 (+0.6) 144.9 (-4.9) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OU -14.8 (-0.8) 144.2 (-4.2) 88% ✓
Baseline ML OU -14.4 (-0.4) 145.2 (-5.2) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Apr 5, 2026 WVU 89 – 82 OU
Feb 5, 2023 WVU 93 – 61 OU
Jan 14, 2023 OU 77 – 76 WVU
Mar 2, 2022 OU 72 – 59 WVU
Jan 27, 2022 OU 72 – 62 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU WVU
Overall 20-12 9-23
Conference 8-10 4-14
Home 14-4 9-9
Away 3-6 0-9
Neutral 3-2 0-5
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L6
Avg Pts For 75.4 69.8
Avg Pts Against 68.8 76.8
Massey 13.6 (#25) -0.1 (#168)
Bradley-Terry 2.48 (#17) -0.21 (#201)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.08 (#19) 0.01 (#172)
RPI 0.594 (#43) 0.496 (#180)
Shooting & Four Factors OU WVU
FG% 48.9% 40.6%
3PT% 35.0% 30.3%
REB / G 38.3 36.2
OREB / G 10.7 10.2
AST / TO 1.13 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.7% 46.1%
TOV% 18.5% 17.3%
ORB% 33.1% 28.3%
FT Rate 25.2% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.4% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 15.1%
DRB% 74.4% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 17.2%

Game Analysis

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