I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
West Virginia Mountaineers
89 82 OT
FINAL Neutral College Basketball Crown
Oklahoma Sooners
T-Mobile Arena (Neutral) · April 5, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread OU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money WVU +136 / OU -162
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual WVU +7 171 Won
Massey OU -2.3 (+9.3)
Massey Totals 138.2 (+32.8)
Bradley-Terry 44%
Weighted B-T 44%
Efficiency Plus ML OU -0.8 (+7.8) 139.7 (+31.3) 37%
Baseline Tuned ML OU -2.4 (+9.4) 136.3 (+34.7) 43%
Baseline ML OU -2.3 (+9.3) 136.4 (+34.6) 38%
Baseline Plus ML OU -2.6 (+9.6) 139.3 (+31.7) 30%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 18, 2024 OU 7763 WVU
Feb 5, 2023 WVU 9361 OU
Jan 14, 2023 OU 7776 WVU
Mar 2, 2022 OU 7259 WVU
Jan 27, 2022 OU 7262 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU OU
Overall 21-14 21-16
Conference 9-9 7-11
Home 15-3 11-5
Away 3-6 4-7
Neutral 3-5 6-4
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak W3 L1
Avg Pts For 70.6 82.9
Avg Pts Against 65.7 77.4
Massey 10.6 (#54) 12.9 (#43)
Bradley-Terry 1.87 (#51) 2.12 (#44)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.54 (#47) 2.79 (#45)
RPI 0.534 (#94) 0.532 (#99)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU OU
FG% 44.4% 46.8%
3PT% 32.5% 36.4%
REB / G 34.8 35.8
OREB / G 10.4 11.4
AST / TO 1.16 1.46
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 54.8%
TOV% 16.8% 14.2%
ORB% 30.5% 33.0%
FT Rate 23.8% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 15.5%
DRB% 71.3% 67.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.4% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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