Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 27, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 130.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual OU +10 134 Lost
Massey WVU -0.8 (-10.8)
Massey Totals 129.6 (+4.4)
Bradley-Terry 79%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML WVU -2.8 (-12.8) 131.6 (+2.4) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -2.5 (-12.5) 133.2 (+0.8) 60%
Baseline ML WVU -2.4 (-12.4) 133.5 (+0.5) 60%
Baseline Plus ML WVU -2.7 (-12.7) 131.3 (+2.7) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Apr 5, 2026 WVU 8982 OU
Jan 18, 2024 OU 7763 WVU
Feb 5, 2023 WVU 9361 OU
Jan 14, 2023 OU 7776 WVU
Mar 2, 2022 OU 7259 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU OU
Overall 16-17 19-16
Conference 4-14 7-11
Home 12-5 12-6
Away 1-11 3-8
Neutral 3-1 4-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 69.1
Avg Pts Against 69.0 65.0
Massey 8.8 (#56) 11.4 (#33)
Bradley-Terry 2.55 (#27) 1.82 (#58)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.12 (#27) 2.74 (#42)
RPI 0.608 (#30) 0.550 (#88)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU OU
FG% 42.5% 49.3%
3PT% 31.6% 33.7%
REB / G 34.3 33.0
OREB / G 11.6 7.8
AST / TO 0.83 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 56.0%
TOV% 18.3% 22.2%
ORB% 32.1% 26.3%
FT Rate 24.1% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 24.1% 22.0%
DRB% 66.0% 74.2%
Opp FT Rate 17.0% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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