And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Big 12 Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +1 153 Won
Massey OU -1.9 (-0.9) — —
Massey Totals — 138.7 (+14.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OU -1.9 (-0.9) 137.8 (+15.2) 57% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OU -2.5 (-1.5) 134.5 (+18.5) 60% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OU -2.4 (-1.4) 137.9 (+15.1) 62% ✓
Baseline ML OU -2.2 (-1.2) 138.9 (+14.1) 62% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Apr 5, 2026 WVU 89 – 82 OU
Jan 18, 2024 OU 77 – 63 WVU
Feb 5, 2023 WVU 93 – 61 OU
Mar 2, 2022 OU 72 – 59 WVU
Jan 27, 2022 OU 72 – 62 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU WVU
Overall 15-17 19-15
Conference 5-13 7-11
Home 9-7 13-4
Away 2-8 3-8
Neutral 4-2 3-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.7 76.0
Avg Pts Against 67.5 70.9
Massey 10.1 (#39) 12.2 (#23)
Bradley-Terry 1.59 (#56) 1.69 (#50)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.46 (#42) 2.59 (#37)
RPI 0.576 (#57) 0.587 (#44)
Shooting & Four Factors OU WVU
FG% 49.1% 46.4%
3PT% 36.8% 35.3%
REB / G 32.0 35.6
OREB / G 6.3 11.4
AST / TO 1.09 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.8% 52.5%
TOV% 19.4% 17.6%
ORB% 22.4% 34.0%
FT Rate 20.5% 29.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 22.1%
DRB% 75.7% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.4% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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