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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–11 on winners spread MAE 7.8 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Indiana -11.1 149.6 18% 87–66 ✓
TCU @ Cincinnati +3.3 146.4 67% 77–81 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +6.2 142.6 72% 69–58 ✗
Wake Forest @ NC State +1.6 143.6 63% 76–83 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +12.6 151.9 87% 66–88 ✓
Missouri @ Alabama +15.8 159.8 90% 75–93 ✓
Richmond @ Duquesne +1.5 136.1 66% 63–61 ✗
Central Michigan @ Ohio +8.8 143.3 82% 61–73 ✓
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) +0.7 144.1 54% 78–73 ✗
Western Michigan @ Akron +13.2 142.6 87% 66–77 ✓
Ball State @ Eastern Michigan -1.5 137.0 37% 76–62 ✓
Buffalo @ Toledo +14.2 149.1 86% 66–77 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -2.6 141.7 43% 64–68 ✗
Saint Louis @ Dayton +14.2 144.0 89% 65–70 ✓
Temple @ SMU +14.0 139.0 87% 64–77 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice -4.3 136.3 29% 81–79 ✓
Kent State @ Northern Illinois -1.3 153.3 40% 83–76 ✓
St. John's @ Seton Hall -0.0 141.0 52% 65–80 ✗
Kansas @ Oklahoma State -3.4 141.0 34% 90–66 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State -5.1 143.7 34% 83–87 ✗
Iowa State @ BYU +5.6 143.1 76% 72–87 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +11.9 148.3 82% 93–90 ✗
Georgia @ South Carolina +4.7 136.6 71% 74–69 ✗
Texas A&M @ Arkansas -3.0 145.1 44% 77–78 ✗
Air Force @ Colorado State +14.8 132.6 89% 69–78 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State -0.9 138.1 48% 82–85 ✗
UNLV @ Boise State +7.2 139.2 78% 68–64 ✗
Utah State @ New Mexico +3.2 149.7 65% 86–99 ✓
Colgate @ Army -7.3 126.4 21% 64–56 ✓
Furman @ VMI -14.0 163.5 14% 100–60 ✓
Georgia State @ App State +9.3 142.6 84% 68–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.