Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -600 CMU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -11.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -8.8 (+3.2) | 143.3 (-9.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -7.2 (+4.8) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -7.4 (+4.6) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -7.5 (+4.5) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | OHIO 57 – 55 CMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 59 CMU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OHIO 96 – 68 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#194) | -9.1 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#260) | -0.47 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#241) | -0.85 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#286) | 0.471 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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