Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +333 OHIO -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +17 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -6.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -6.7 (-10.3) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -5.6 (-11.4) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -5.9 (-11.1) | 146.0 (-11.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -6.1 (-10.9) | 145.3 (-10.3) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | OHIO 57 – 55 CMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | OHIO 73 – 61 CMU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OHIO 96 – 68 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#306) | 1.9 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#304) | 0.15 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#309) | 0.17 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#306) | 0.506 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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