Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -215 CMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -5.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -4.9 (-2.9) | 151.6 (+14.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -4.7 (-2.7) | 150.0 (+16.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -4.7 (-2.7) | 148.7 (+17.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.5 (-2.5) | 150.5 (+15.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | OHIO 57 – 55 CMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | OHIO 73 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 59 CMU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OHIO 96 – 68 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#168) | -2.8 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#191) | -1.01 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#200) | -1.14 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#173) | 0.465 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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