Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +155 OHIO -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +2 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -2.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-41.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -0.1 (-2.1) | 148.3 (-36.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -0.9 (-2.9) | 146.9 (-34.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -0.9 (-2.9) | 147.2 (-35.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -0.1 (-2.1) | 150.0 (-38.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | OHIO 73 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 59 CMU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OHIO 96 – 68 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#211) | -1.1 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#161) | -0.36 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | -0.49 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#112) | 0.488 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.