Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -800 CMU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +28 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -11.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -9.1 (+18.9) | 142.4 (+21.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -11.2 (+16.8) | 140.9 (+23.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -8.6 (+19.4) | 140.1 (+23.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -8.8 (+19.2) | 140.8 (+23.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OHIO 80 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | OHIO 57 – 55 CMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | OHIO 73 – 61 CMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | OHIO 76 – 59 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#145) | -6.2 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#169) | -1.63 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#152) | -1.92 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#169) | 0.398 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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