Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -111 SJU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -1.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -0.0 (+15.0) | 141.0 (+4.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -0.1 (+14.9) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.5 (+14.5) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -0.5 (+15.5) | 143.7 (+1.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SJU 78 – 68 HALL |
| Mar 7, 2026 | SJU 72 – 65 HALL |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SJU 65 – 60 HALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SJU 71 – 61 HALL |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SJU 79 – 51 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#66) | 13.2 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#47) | 1.97 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#50) | 2.60 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#33) | 0.605 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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