Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SJU -380 HALL +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -10.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -13.1 (-3.1) | 135.8 (+10.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -9.9 (+0.1) | 131.9 (+14.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -9.9 (+0.1) | 131.9 (+14.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -9.9 (+0.1) | 135.1 (+10.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SJU 72 – 65 HALL |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SJU 65 – 60 HALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SJU 71 – 61 HALL |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SJU 79 – 51 HALL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | SJU 91 – 72 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 10-10 |
| Home | 18-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#19) | 10.9 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#18) | 1.89 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.95 (#18) | 2.50 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#16) | 0.556 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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