Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HALL +380 SJU -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +28 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -12.7 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -12.3 (-15.7) | 139.4 (-9.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -10.5 (-17.5) | 137.3 (-7.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -12.1 (-15.9) | 138.4 (-8.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -11.7 (-16.3) | 138.3 (-8.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SJU 78 – 68 HALL |
| Mar 7, 2026 | SJU 72 – 65 HALL |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SJU 65 – 60 HALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SJU 71 – 61 HALL |
| Mar 14, 2024 | SJU 91 – 72 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 31-5 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 18-2 |
| Home | 5-11 | 19-0 |
| Away | 0-11 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#169) | 15.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#237) | 2.49 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#226) | 3.84 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#257) | 0.622 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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