The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · March 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SJU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money HALL +190 / SJU -230
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual SJU +7 137 Lost
Massey SJU -4.7 (-2.3) — —
Massey Totals — 136.4 (+0.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 34% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 30% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SJU -1.8 (-5.2) 132.2 (+4.8) 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SJU -4.4 (-2.6) 132.9 (+4.1) 31% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SJU -2.0 (-5.0) 127.6 (+9.4) 40% ✓
Baseline ML SJU -1.9 (-5.1) 127.7 (+9.3) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 SJU 78 – 68 HALL
Jan 21, 2026 SJU 65 – 60 HALL
Mar 1, 2025 SJU 71 – 61 HALL
Jan 19, 2025 SJU 79 – 51 HALL
Mar 14, 2024 SJU 91 – 72 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL SJU
Overall 21-12 30-7
Conference 10-10 18-2
Home 12-5 18-2
Away 6-6 9-1
Neutral 3-1 3-4
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 80.9
Avg Pts Against 65.3 69.6
Massey 10.8 (#55) 18.4 (#19)
Bradley-Terry 1.88 (#52) 3.06 (#19)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.47 (#50) 3.87 (#21)
RPI 0.565 (#63) 0.619 (#20)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL SJU
FG% 43.8% 45.1%
3PT% 31.0% 33.8%
REB / G 35.7 39.0
OREB / G 12.5 13.4
AST / TO 1.17 1.55
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.0% 50.8%
TOV% 16.9% 14.7%
ORB% 35.8% 36.1%
FT Rate 25.4% 31.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 22.0% 19.5%
DRB% 67.8% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 29.8% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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