Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Big East Conference · Madison Square Garden · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SJU -19.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money SJU -7500 / HALL +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total SJU win
Actual SJU +10 132 Won
Massey SJU -23.0 (-13.0) — —
Massey Totals — 132.4 (-0.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SJU -19.2 (-9.2) 136.7 (-4.7) 91% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SJU -15.5 (-5.5) 135.3 (-3.3) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SJU -18.7 (-8.7) 135.4 (-3.4) 91% ✓
Baseline ML SJU -19.0 (-9.0) 135.4 (-3.4) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 SJU 78 – 68 HALL
Mar 7, 2026 SJU 72 – 65 HALL
Jan 21, 2026 SJU 65 – 60 HALL
Jan 19, 2025 SJU 79 – 51 HALL
Mar 14, 2024 SJU 91 – 72 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SJU HALL
Overall 31-5 7-25
Conference 18-2 2-18
Home 19-0 5-11
Away 8-2 0-11
Neutral 4-3 2-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 78.5 61.6
Avg Pts Against 65.8 70.2
Massey 17.9 (#17) -1.8 (#193)
Bradley-Terry 2.97 (#17) -0.89 (#252)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.34 (#7) -1.01 (#244)
RPI 0.625 (#13) 0.437 (#303)
Shooting & Four Factors SJU HALL
FG% 44.9% 39.8%
3PT% 30.2% 31.7%
REB / G 40.7 32.0
OREB / G 14.6 11.5
AST / TO 1.42 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.6% 44.7%
TOV% 15.5% 19.2%
ORB% 37.7% 32.1%
FT Rate 21.0% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 21.8%
DRB% 70.5% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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