Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +145 SJU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +19 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -0.6 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.4 (-19.4) | 146.8 (+16.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -0.9 (-19.9) | 145.8 (+17.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -1.2 (-20.2) | 146.6 (+16.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -1.2 (-20.2) | 147.7 (+15.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SJU 78 – 68 HALL |
| Mar 7, 2026 | SJU 72 – 65 HALL |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SJU 65 – 60 HALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SJU 71 – 61 HALL |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SJU 79 – 51 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#64) | 13.0 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#52) | 1.63 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#51) | 2.21 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#85) | 0.548 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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