Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -175 RICH +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -2.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -1.1 (-3.1) | 138.3 (-14.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.5 (-3.5) | 136.1 (-12.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -1.3 (-3.3) | 136.4 (-12.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.1 (-3.1) | 135.3 (-11.3) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DUQ 79 – 77 RICH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICH 73 – 68 DUQ |
| Jan 7, 2023 | RICH 75 – 73 DUQ |
| Feb 2, 2022 | RICH 74 – 57 DUQ |
| Mar 4, 2021 | DUQ 67 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#102) | 6.4 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#86) | 1.03 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#90) | 1.26 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#49) | 0.530 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 12.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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