Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -150 DUQ +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -5.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -2.6 (-0.6) | 139.7 (+8.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -3.4 (-1.4) | 139.4 (+8.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -2.1 (-0.1) | 138.3 (+9.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -2.2 (-0.2) | 139.8 (+8.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DUQ 79 – 77 RICH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICH 73 – 68 DUQ |
| Jan 17, 2024 | RICH 63 – 61 DUQ |
| Feb 2, 2022 | RICH 74 – 57 DUQ |
| Mar 4, 2021 | DUQ 67 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 16-4 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#116) | 2.5 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#195) | 1.01 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#146) | 0.87 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#172) | 0.558 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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