Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -150 DUQ +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -6.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.5 (-10.5) | 139.8 (-10.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -3.6 (-8.6) | 137.9 (-8.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -5.2 (-10.2) | 141.0 (-12.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -5.0 (-10.0) | 141.6 (-12.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DUQ 79 – 77 RICH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICH 73 – 68 DUQ |
| Jan 17, 2024 | RICH 63 – 61 DUQ |
| Jan 7, 2023 | RICH 75 – 73 DUQ |
| Feb 2, 2022 | RICH 74 – 57 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 5-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#64) | 2.3 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#72) | 0.22 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#62) | 0.57 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#54) | 0.496 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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