Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | RICH +125 DUQ -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -2.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.9 (+6.9) | 132.2 (+8.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -2.3 (+7.3) | 131.2 (+9.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -2.6 (+7.6) | 132.4 (+8.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -2.5 (+7.5) | 133.4 (+7.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DUQ 79 – 77 RICH |
| Jan 17, 2024 | RICH 63 – 61 DUQ |
| Jan 7, 2023 | RICH 75 – 73 DUQ |
| Feb 2, 2022 | RICH 74 – 57 DUQ |
| Mar 4, 2021 | DUQ 67 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#253) | 0.0 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#262) | -0.49 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#249) | -0.16 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#221) | 0.485 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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