Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +17 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -6.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -6.3 (-10.7) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -7.2 (-9.8) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -6.3 (-10.7) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -7.5 (-9.5) | 139.3 (-8.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DUQ 79 – 77 RICH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RICH 73 – 68 DUQ |
| Jan 17, 2024 | RICH 63 – 61 DUQ |
| Jan 7, 2023 | RICH 75 – 73 DUQ |
| Mar 4, 2021 | DUQ 67 – 62 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 3-11 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#244) | 5.5 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#249) | 1.00 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#234) | 1.22 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#267) | 0.550 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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