Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -1400 WMU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -15.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -13.5 (-2.5) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -13.2 (-2.2) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -13.2 (-2.2) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -13.1 (-2.1) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Feb 26, 2023 | AKR 81 – 64 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#96) | -5.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#80) | -0.83 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#73) | -1.12 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#75) | 0.446 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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