Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -4500 WMU +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +15 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -18.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -15.0 (+0.0) | 156.7 (+36.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -16.7 (-1.7) | 156.8 (+36.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -15.6 (-0.6) | 158.5 (+34.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -16.0 (-1.0) | 159.0 (+34.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | AKR 81 – 64 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-0 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 80.1 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#57) | -5.0 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#64) | -0.58 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#71) | -0.66 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#52) | 0.472 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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