Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -1000 WMU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -16.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -12.6 (+4.4) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -14.5 (+2.5) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -13.8 (+3.2) | 141.6 (+3.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -13.2 (+3.8) | 143.9 (+1.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#98) | -8.3 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#115) | -2.12 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#121) | -2.31 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#99) | 0.394 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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