This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Akron Zips
81 64
FINAL Conference
Western Michigan Broncos
Mid-American Conference · James A. Rhodes Arena · February 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread AKR -14.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money AKR -1000 / WMU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total AKR win
Actual AKR +17 145 Won
Massey AKR -16.6 (+0.4)
Massey Totals 137.8 (+7.2)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML AKR -13.8 (+3.2) 141.6 (+3.4) 88%
Model 4 ML AKR -14.5 (+2.5) 140.3 (+4.7) 88%
Model 3 ML AKR -12.6 (+4.4) 143.2 (+1.8) 88%
Baseline ML AKR -13.2 (+3.8) 143.9 (+1.1) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 AKR 9073 WMU
Jan 17, 2026 AKR 10489 WMU
Feb 12, 2025 AKR 10592 WMU
Mar 8, 2024 WMU 9084 AKR
Jan 17, 2024 AKR 7766 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings AKR WMU
Overall 22-11 8-23
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 15-1 7-7
Away 5-6 1-15
Neutral 2-4 0-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 74.2 68.3
Avg Pts Against 68.3 76.5
Massey 4.7 (#98) -8.3 (#308)
Bradley-Terry 0.71 (#115) -2.12 (#346)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.67 (#121) -2.31 (#337)
RPI 0.544 (#99) 0.394 (#351)
Shooting & Four Factors AKR WMU
FG% 43.3% 42.3%
3PT% 34.2% 31.8%
REB / G 35.6 35.6
OREB / G 10.7 11.8
AST / TO 1.12 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 48.8%
TOV% 16.8% 19.6%
ORB% 31.1% 32.9%
FT Rate 24.2% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 14.5%
DRB% 73.9% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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