Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -1400 WMU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +13 | 197 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -18.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (+41.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -16.6 (-3.6) | 151.3 (+45.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -16.8 (-3.8) | 154.8 (+42.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -16.3 (-3.3) | 152.8 (+44.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -17.3 (-4.3) | 152.5 (+44.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | AKR 81 – 64 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#93) | -10.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#80) | -1.80 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#88) | -2.30 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#48) | 0.424 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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