Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WMU +310 AKR -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +6 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -8.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -5.7 (+11.7) | 139.9 (+34.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -8.0 (+14.0) | 140.0 (+34.0) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -7.2 (+13.2) | 140.8 (+33.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -6.3 (+12.3) | 140.8 (+33.2) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | AKR 81 – 64 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#296) | 4.2 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#287) | 0.87 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#298) | 1.17 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#282) | 0.569 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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