Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | WMU +800 AKR -1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +17 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -13.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -11.6 (-5.4) | 158.9 (+4.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.6 (-5.4) | 157.8 (+5.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -11.9 (-5.1) | 157.3 (+5.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -11.6 (-5.4) | 157.9 (+5.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | AKR 81 – 64 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 17-1 |
| Home | 7-8 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#276) | 9.4 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#253) | 1.56 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#246) | 1.70 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#256) | 0.589 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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