Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -1000 SLU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -20.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -14.2 (-9.2) | 144.0 (-9.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -16.1 (-11.1) | 147.2 (-12.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -17.0 (-12.0) | 147.5 (-12.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -16.6 (-11.6) | 145.0 (-10.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#31) | -3.4 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#9) | 0.20 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#7) | -0.01 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#2) | 0.514 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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