Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SMU -1200 TEM +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -19.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -14.0 (-1.0) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -15.6 (-2.6) | 136.9 (+4.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -16.6 (-3.6) | 136.9 (+4.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -17.2 (-4.2) | 138.6 (+2.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2024 | TEM 75 – 60 SMU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SMU 72 – 71 TEM |
| Feb 17, 2022 | TEM 64 – 57 SMU |
| Jan 29, 2022 | SMU 69 – 61 TEM |
| Jan 11, 2021 | SMU 79 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#37) | -3.1 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#73) | -0.28 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#65) | -0.70 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#87) | 0.495 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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