Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +8 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -9.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -9.3 (-1.3) | 141.4 (-11.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -8.1 (-0.1) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -8.2 (-0.2) | 138.4 (-8.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -8.8 (-0.8) | 139.0 (-9.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2024 | TEM 75 – 60 SMU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SMU 77 – 64 TEM |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SMU 72 – 71 TEM |
| Feb 17, 2022 | TEM 64 – 57 SMU |
| Jan 11, 2021 | SMU 79 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 10-7 |
| Home | 17-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#56) | 2.5 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#63) | 1.14 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#64) | 0.94 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#69) | 0.536 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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