Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SMU -700 TEM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +15 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | SMU -12.7 (-27.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -8.5 (-23.5) | 140.5 (-5.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -9.5 (-24.5) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -9.2 (-24.2) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -9.8 (-24.8) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2024 | SMU 77 – 64 TEM |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SMU 72 – 71 TEM |
| Feb 17, 2022 | TEM 64 – 57 SMU |
| Jan 29, 2022 | SMU 69 – 61 TEM |
| Jan 11, 2021 | SMU 79 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#54) | -2.7 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#96) | -0.57 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#86) | -0.77 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#103) | 0.478 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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