Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY +310 COLG -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -7.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.3 (-0.7) | 126.4 (-6.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.2 (+0.2) | 124.9 (-4.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -7.4 (-0.6) | 127.8 (-7.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -7.8 (-0.2) | 129.3 (-9.3) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 64.9 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#323) | 0.5 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#348) | 0.04 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#344) | -0.11 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#360) | 0.503 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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