Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Rice Owls
79 – 81 OT
FINAL Conference
Charlotte 49ers
American Conference · Tudor Fieldhouse · January 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CLT -2.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money RICE +115 / CLT -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICE win
Actual CLT +2 160 Lost
Massey CLT -5.0 (+3.0) — —
Massey Totals — 135.0 (+25.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLT -4.3 (+2.3) 136.3 (+23.7) 29% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLT -4.8 (+2.8) 136.7 (+23.3) 27% ✓
Baseline ML CLT -5.3 (+3.3) 137.9 (+22.1) 29% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLT -5.3 (+3.3) 135.9 (+24.1) 27% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLT 80 – 70 RICE
Jan 11, 2026 CLT 74 – 73 RICE
Mar 12, 2025 CLT 64 – 61 RICE
Feb 8, 2025 CLT 78 – 75 RICE
Jan 4, 2025 RICE 68 – 55 CLT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICE CLT
Overall 11-21 19-12
Conference 5-13 13-5
Home 6-10 13-2
Away 5-7 5-7
Neutral 0-4 1-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 71.1 68.0
Avg Pts Against 76.3 66.3
Massey -4.7 (#258) 4.2 (#108)
Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#289) 0.60 (#130)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#278) 0.71 (#128)
RPI 0.447 (#268) 0.547 (#97)
Shooting & Four Factors RICE CLT
FG% 43.0% 44.7%
3PT% 29.8% 30.0%
REB / G 36.5 32.2
OREB / G 10.6 7.7
AST / TO 1.07 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 50.2%
TOV% 18.3% 15.5%
ORB% 28.8% 24.4%
FT Rate 21.3% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 16.4%
DRB% 72.1% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 22.9%

Game Analysis

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