Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -275 ORE +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -6.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.7 (+11.3) | 147.4 (+8.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -5.9 (+10.1) | 145.7 (+10.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -4.7 (+11.3) | 148.9 (+7.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.7 (+11.3) | 146.9 (+9.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
| Mar 10, 2022 | COLO 80 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#42) | 8.7 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#63) | 2.15 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#59) | 2.41 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#48) | 0.599 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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