Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -163 ORE +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +27 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -4.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.3 (+22.7) | 146.3 (-37.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.1 (+23.9) | 139.3 (-30.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.4 (+23.6) | 142.3 (-33.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.0 (+23.0) | 146.2 (-37.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Mar 10, 2022 | COLO 80 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 15-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#58) | 8.2 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#99) | 0.87 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#85) | 1.30 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#73) | 0.542 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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