Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -300 COLO +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -3.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.8 (+2.2) | 139.9 (+4.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -3.9 (+2.1) | 138.4 (+5.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.9 (+2.1) | 138.5 (+5.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -3.9 (+2.1) | 140.3 (+3.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
| Mar 10, 2022 | COLO 80 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#53) | 9.5 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#85) | 0.91 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#77) | 1.50 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#85) | 0.553 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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