Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -150 ORE +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -4.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -3.8 (-10.8) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -2.7 (-9.7) | 139.6 (+3.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -2.7 (-9.7) | 141.9 (+1.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -3.6 (-10.6) | 141.8 (+1.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
| Mar 10, 2022 | COLO 80 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#25) | 9.3 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#38) | 1.67 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#37) | 1.95 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#31) | 0.559 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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