Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -188 COLO +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -0.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -0.5 (-4.5) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -0.1 (-4.1) | 148.1 (+5.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -0.9 (-4.9) | 149.6 (+4.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -0.8 (-4.8) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
| Mar 10, 2022 | COLO 80 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#64) | 12.9 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#64) | 1.71 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#67) | 2.22 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#63) | 0.578 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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