Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -0.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.9 (+10.1) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.2 (+10.8) | 138.9 (+10.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.3 (+10.7) | 140.4 (+8.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -1.0 (+10.0) | 142.9 (+6.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#77) | 8.2 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#61) | 1.49 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#59) | 1.83 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#104) | 0.567 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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